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Tropical development expected in Gulf of Mexico this week. Here’s the latest in the tropics

todaySeptember 30, 2024

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Weather

Area in Caribbean has 40% chance of development

ORLANDO, Fla. – An area of low pressure is expected to form in the Caribbean this week, moving into the Gulf of Mexico where it could further develop, according to the National Hurricane Center.

As of the 8 a.m. update, the area in the western Caribbean has a 40% chance of development in the next seven days.

The broad low in the western Caribbean is expected to emerge northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. As it does so, further tropical development is expected. Once it gets into the Gulf, the forecast comes a bit more uncertain on its path and strength.

Local impacts, if any, remain a bit up in the air with this system. Which is why it is important to find a trusted weather resource and continue to monitor the progress through the week and weekend.

In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression 12 is on the cusp of becoming a tropical storm and is forecast to become a “powerful” hurricane this week. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

Tropics outlook 8 a.m. (Copyright 2024 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Behind Tropical Depression 12, a tropical wave south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands could develop this week and a tropical depression could form during the middle or later part of the week. It has a 30% chance of development in the next two days and a 80% chance of development in the next seven days.

Meanwhile, Joyce is expected to become a remnant low later Monday while Isaac will become post-tropical.

Tropics outlook (Copyright 2024 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

The next name on the list is Kirk.

At least 91 people across several states were killed due to Helene, which hit the Florida Big Bend region as a strong Category 4 hurricane. A weakened Helene quickly moved through Georgia, then soaked the Carolinas and Tennessee with torrential rains that flooded creeks and rivers and strained dams.

Hurricane season runs through November.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Names (Copyright 2024 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

Meteorologist Jonathan Kegges provides the latest information about everything happening in the tropics.


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Copyright 2024 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.


About the Authors

Brenda Argueta is a digital journalist who joined ClickOrlando.com in March 2021. She is the author of the Central Florida Happenings newsletter that goes out every Thursday.

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